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Major League Soccer · USA
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
St. Louis City host Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: St. Louis City 6–2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Going into the match, St. Louis City had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 12. Los Angeles Galaxy had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of St. Louis City's last 10 and 6 of Los Angeles Galaxy's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home St. Louis City averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Los Angeles Galaxy averaged 1.46 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from St. Louis City and 1.00 from Los Angeles Galaxy. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 12%, against 61%, 22% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between St. Louis City (green) and Los Angeles Galaxy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | WWWWD | 2.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 90% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | WWDLW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Jul 2026 · Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| St. Louis City Win | 61% | 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.