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Oberliga - Niederrhein · Germany
SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SSVg Velbert host SC St. Tönis in the Oberliga - Niederrhein (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS 1st Half - No — BTTS 1st Half - No. It was published at odds of 1.47, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SSVg Velbert 3–2 SC St. Tönis.
Going into the match, SSVg Velbert had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 23. SC St. Tönis had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of SSVg Velbert's last 10 and 7 of SC St. Tönis's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SSVg Velbert averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home SC St. Tönis averaged 1.88 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.85 goals from SSVg Velbert and 1.65 from SC St. Tönis. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 20%, against 48%, 21% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SSVg Velbert (green) and SC St. Tönis (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | WWWWL | 2.80 | 2.30 | 70% | 90% |
| SC St. Tönis | LWLWW | 1.80 | 2.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.29 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 62% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| SSVg Velbert Win | 48% | 1.87 |
| 0-0 | 11% | 8.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.