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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
SS Reyes vs Real Ávila prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SS Reyes host Real Ávila in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — SS Reyes to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SS Reyes 3–0 Real Ávila.
Going into the match, SS Reyes had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Real Ávila had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SS Reyes's last 10 and 6 of Real Ávila's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SS Reyes averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Real Ávila averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from SS Reyes and 0.87 from Real Ávila. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 16%, against 44%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SS Reyes (green) and Real Ávila (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes | LDWWL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Real Ávila | WWLLW | 1.30 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.71 |
| SS Reyes Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.