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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SS Reyes II host Real Aranjuez in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — SS Reyes II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SS Reyes II 3–5 Real Aranjuez.
Going into the match, SS Reyes II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Real Aranjuez had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of SS Reyes II's last 10 and 4 of Real Aranjuez's last 5; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SS Reyes II averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Real Aranjuez averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from SS Reyes II and 2.12 from Real Aranjuez. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 33%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SS Reyes II (green) and Real Aranjuez (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes II | LLWLD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Real Aranjuez | LDLLL | 1.00 | 3.20 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| SS Reyes II Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| SS Reyes II HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.