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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
SS Monopoli vs Savoia prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SS Monopoli host Savoia in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SS Monopoli 0–0 Savoia.
Going into the match, SS Monopoli had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Savoia had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of SS Monopoli's last 10 and 7 of Savoia's last 10; 1 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SS Monopoli averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Savoia averaged 1.89 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from SS Monopoli and 0.87 from Savoia. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SS Monopoli (green) and Savoia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | WDDWL | 0.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 10% |
| Savoia | LDDDW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 53% | 1.74 |
| SS Monopoli Win | 52% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.