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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Tienen prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spouwen-Mopertingen host Tienen in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spouwen-Mopertingen 2–2 Tienen.
Going into the match, Spouwen-Mopertingen had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 16. Tienen had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 10 and 6 of Tienen's last 9; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spouwen-Mopertingen averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Tienen averaged 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Spouwen-Mopertingen and 1.83 from Tienen. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 31%, against 45%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spouwen-Mopertingen (green) and Tienen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | LWLWL | 2.30 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
| Tienen | DWDWL | 1.56 | 1.56 | 67% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.