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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Thes Sport prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spouwen-Mopertingen host Thes Sport in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Spouwen-Mopertingen had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 21. Thes Sport had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Spouwen-Mopertingen's last 10 and 7 of Thes Sport's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spouwen-Mopertingen averaged 2.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Thes Sport averaged 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Spouwen-Mopertingen and 1.56 from Thes Sport. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 28%, against 35%, 25% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spouwen-Mopertingen (green) and Thes Sport (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | WDLWL | 1.90 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Thes Sport | DLDWL | 1.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Thes Sport Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.