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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior '31 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportlust '46 host Excelsior '31 in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sportlust '46 to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Sportlust '46 0–3 Excelsior '31.
Going into the match, Sportlust '46 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Excelsior '31 had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Sportlust '46's last 10 and 5 of Excelsior '31's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportlust '46 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Excelsior '31 averaged 1.86 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Sportlust '46 and 2.33 from Excelsior '31. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 68%. For the published pick itself the model gives 32%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportlust '46 (green) and Excelsior '31 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportlust '46 | WLWWD | 2.00 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Excelsior '31 | WWWDL | 2.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.