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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Trinidense host Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 5 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportivo Trinidense 3–2 Sportivo Luqueno.
Going into the match, Sportivo Trinidense had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Sportivo Luqueno had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sportivo Trinidense's last 10 and 5 of Sportivo Luqueno's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Trinidense averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sportivo Luqueno averaged 0.91 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Sportivo Trinidense and 0.95 from Sportivo Luqueno. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportivo Trinidense (green) and Sportivo Luqueno (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense | WLWLW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Sportivo Luqueno | DLWLL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Jul 2026 · Sportivo Luqueno 1–4 Sportivo Trinidense
- 25 Apr 2026 · Sportivo Luqueno 2–1 Sportivo Trinidense
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Sportivo Trinidense Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.