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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Luqueno host Cerro Porteno in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:20 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportivo Luqueno 0–3 Cerro Porteno.
Going into the match, Sportivo Luqueno had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Cerro Porteno had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sportivo Luqueno's last 10 and 6 of Cerro Porteno's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Luqueno averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Cerro Porteno averaged 0.93 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Sportivo Luqueno and 1.56 from Cerro Porteno. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 51%, against 22%, 26% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportivo Luqueno (green) and Cerro Porteno (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | LDLWL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Cerro Porteno | LWLWD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Cerro Porteno 3–0 Sportivo Luqueno
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Cerro Porteno Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.