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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina

Sportivo Italiano vs Talleres Remedios prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sportivo Italiano host Talleres Remedios in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sportivo Italiano 2–0 Talleres Remedios.

Going into the match, Sportivo Italiano had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Talleres Remedios had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Sportivo Italiano's last 10 and 3 of Talleres Remedios's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Italiano averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Talleres Remedios averaged 1.62 scored and 0.38 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Sportivo Italiano and 0.86 from Talleres Remedios. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 28%, against 31%, 33% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sportivo Italiano (green) and Talleres Remedios (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack54% – 46%
Defence57% – 43%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sportivo ItalianoWDLWW1.600.7030%40%
Talleres RemediosWDLWW0.900.8030%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals77%1.22
Double Chance X268%1.36
Under 2.5 Goals66%1.40
BTTS No59%1.57
Over 1.5 Goals59%1.57
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals58%1.62
Over 8.5 Corners50%1.83
Under 1.5 Goals41%2.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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