Sportivo Carapeguá vs Resistencia prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.33Market probability 68%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sportivo Carapeguá host Resistencia in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sportivo Carapeguá to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sportivo Carapeguá 1–2 Resistencia.

Going into the match, Sportivo Carapeguá had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Resistencia had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Sportivo Carapeguá's last 10 and 6 of Resistencia's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Carapeguá averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Resistencia averaged 0.86 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Sportivo Carapeguá and 1.18 from Resistencia. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sportivo Carapeguá (green) and Resistencia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form73% – 27%

Attack53% – 47%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sportivo Carapeguá	WDWDW	1.40	1.20	50%	40%
Resistencia	DWLLL	1.00	1.20	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 Jul 2026 · Resistencia 1–1 Sportivo Carapeguá