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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Sportivo Carapeguá vs Deportivo Capiata prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Carapeguá host Deportivo Capiata in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 2 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportivo Carapeguá 1–1 Deportivo Capiata.
Going into the match, Sportivo Carapeguá had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Deportivo Capiata had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sportivo Carapeguá's last 10 and 5 of Deportivo Capiata's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Carapeguá averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Deportivo Capiata averaged 0.62 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Sportivo Carapeguá and 1.13 from Deportivo Capiata. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 30%, against 42%, 26% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportivo Carapeguá (green) and Deportivo Capiata (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Carapeguá | WDWWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Deportivo Capiata | DLLLW | 0.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Deportivo Capiata 5–2 Sportivo Carapeguá
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Sportivo Carapeguá Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| 1-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.