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Primera C · Argentina
Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Barracas host Leones de Rosario in the Primera C (Argentina) on 5 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportivo Barracas 0–2 Leones de Rosario.
Going into the match, Sportivo Barracas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Leones de Rosario had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sportivo Barracas's last 10 and 3 of Leones de Rosario's last 10; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Barracas averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Leones de Rosario averaged 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Sportivo Barracas and 0.89 from Leones de Rosario. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 33%, against 32%, 33% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportivo Barracas (green) and Leones de Rosario (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Barracas | DLLWL | 1.00 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
| Leones de Rosario | LDDWW | 0.80 | 0.50 | 30% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Leones de Rosario 2–0 Sportivo Barracas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Leones de Rosario Win | 35% | 2.55 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.