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Division Profesional - Clausura · Paraguay
Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportivo Ameliano host Rubio NU in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) on 6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportivo Ameliano 1–2 Rubio NU.
Going into the match, Sportivo Ameliano had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Rubio NU had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sportivo Ameliano's last 10 and 7 of Rubio NU's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportivo Ameliano averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Rubio NU averaged 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Sportivo Ameliano and 0.89 from Rubio NU. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 23%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportivo Ameliano (green) and Rubio NU (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Ameliano | DDWWL | 1.10 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
| Rubio NU | LDLLL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jul 2026 · Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Sportivo Ameliano Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.