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Second League · Bulgaria
Sportist Svoge vs Hebar 1918 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sportist Svoge host Hebar 1918 in the Second League (Bulgaria) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sportist Svoge 1–3 Hebar 1918.
Going into the match, Sportist Svoge had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Hebar 1918 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sportist Svoge's last 10 and 7 of Hebar 1918's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sportist Svoge averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Hebar 1918 averaged 2.00 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Sportist Svoge and 1.34 from Hebar 1918. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 43%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sportist Svoge (green) and Hebar 1918 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | DLWLD | 0.60 | 0.90 | 30% | 20% |
| Hebar 1918 | WLWWL | 2.60 | 1.40 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Sportist Svoge 1–0 Hebar 1918
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Hebar 1918 Win | 37% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.