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Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama
Sporting San Miguelito vs Union Cocle prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting San Miguelito host Union Cocle in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol (Panama) on 6 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sporting San Miguelito to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting San Miguelito 3–1 Union Cocle.
Going into the match, Sporting San Miguelito had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Union Cocle had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sporting San Miguelito's last 10 and 5 of Union Cocle's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting San Miguelito averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Union Cocle averaged 0.43 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Sporting San Miguelito and 0.86 from Union Cocle. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 49%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting San Miguelito (green) and Union Cocle (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Miguelito | DLLDW | 0.90 | 1.20 | 40% | 20% |
| Union Cocle | LLLLD | 0.70 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.76 |
| Sporting San Miguelito Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Sporting San Miguelito HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.