Sporting San Jose vs San Carlos prediction and preview

20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Sporting San Jose WinOdds 1.62Market probability 52%Final score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sporting San Jose host San Carlos in the Primera División (Costa Rica) on 20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sporting San Jose Win — Sporting San Jose to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sporting San Jose 3–3 San Carlos.

Going into the match, Sporting San Jose had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. San Carlos had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Sporting San Jose's last 10 and 3 of San Carlos's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting San Jose averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home San Carlos averaged 0.86 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Sporting San Jose and 1.40 from San Carlos. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 56%, 26% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sporting San Jose (green) and San Carlos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence15% – 85%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Sporting San Jose	LWWWL	1.70	1.50	40%	60%
San Carlos	LWWWW	1.00	0.80	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

7 Sep 2026 · San Carlos 1–0 Sporting San Jose

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	72%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Sporting San Jose Win	55%	1.62
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.