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Major League Soccer · USA
Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Kansas City host Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers.
Going into the match, Sporting Kansas City had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 21. Portland Timbers had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sporting Kansas City's last 10 and 9 of Portland Timbers's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Kansas City averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Portland Timbers averaged 1.27 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Sporting Kansas City and 2.42 from Portland Timbers. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 50%, against 34%, 24% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Kansas City (green) and Portland Timbers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | LWLWL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Portland Timbers | LLLDW | 1.80 | 1.90 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Portland Timbers 6–0 Sporting Kansas City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Portland Timbers Win | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.