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Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Sporting Gijón II vs Langreo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Gijón II host Langreo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sporting Gijón II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Langreo.
Going into the match, Sporting Gijón II had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 10. Langreo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sporting Gijón II's last 10 and 9 of Langreo's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Gijón II averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Langreo averaged 1.67 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Sporting Gijón II and 0.84 from Langreo. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 14%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Gijón II (green) and Langreo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijón II | WWWWW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Langreo | WWDLL | 2.00 | 2.30 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Sporting Gijón II Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Sporting Gijón II HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.