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Copa De La Liga · Peru
Sporting Cristal vs ADT prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Cristal host ADT in the Copa De La Liga (Peru) on 1 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sporting Cristal Win — Sporting Cristal to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Cristal 5–0 ADT.
Going into the match, Sporting Cristal had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 9. ADT had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sporting Cristal's last 10 and 5 of ADT's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Cristal averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home ADT averaged 0.91 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.57 goals from Sporting Cristal and 0.69 from ADT. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 7%, against 59%, 22% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Cristal (green) and ADT (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | WWWWL | 2.30 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| ADT | LWLLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · ADT 0–1 Sporting Cristal
- 24 May 2026 · Sporting Cristal 2–1 ADT
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Sporting Cristal Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Sporting Cristal HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.