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Júniores U19 · Portugal
Sporting CP U19 vs Mafra U19 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting CP U19 host Mafra U19 in the Júniores U19 (Portugal) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting CP U19 1–1 Mafra U19.
Going into the match, Sporting CP U19 had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Mafra U19 had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sporting CP U19's last 10 and 3 of Mafra U19's last 8; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting CP U19 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Mafra U19 averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Sporting CP U19 and 0.67 from Mafra U19. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 10%, against 75%, 15% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting CP U19 (green) and Mafra U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP U19 | WWDWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Mafra U19 | DLWDW | 1.25 | 1.50 | 38% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP U19 Win | 75% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Sporting CP U19 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.