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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Sporting Braga U23 vs Marítimo U23 prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Braga U23 host Marítimo U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 12 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Braga U23 1–3 Marítimo U23.
Going into the match, Sporting Braga U23 had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Marítimo U23 had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting Braga U23's last 10 and 5 of Marítimo U23's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Braga U23 averaged 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Marítimo U23 averaged 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Sporting Braga U23 and 1.02 from Marítimo U23. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 21%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Braga U23 (green) and Marítimo U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Braga U23 | DDDDW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 70% | 20% |
| Marítimo U23 | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Sporting Braga U23 Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.66 |
| Sporting Braga U23 HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.