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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23 prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Braga U23 host Benfica U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Braga U23 4–3 Benfica U23.
Going into the match, Sporting Braga U23 had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14. Benfica U23 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Sporting Braga U23's last 10 and 7 of Benfica U23's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Braga U23 averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Benfica U23 averaged 1.33 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Sporting Braga U23 and 1.55 from Benfica U23. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 31%, against 41%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Braga U23 (green) and Benfica U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Braga U23 | DLDDD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 80% | 30% |
| Benfica U23 | DLWWW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 May 2026 · Benfica U23 1–1 Sporting Braga U23
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Sporting Braga U23 Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Sporting Braga U23 HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.