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Primera División · Peru
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sport Huancayo host Alianza Atletico in the Primera División (Peru) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sport Huancayo had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. Alianza Atletico had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sport Huancayo's last 10 and 9 of Alianza Atletico's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sport Huancayo averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Alianza Atletico averaged 1.53 scored and 1.59 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Sport Huancayo and 1.68 from Alianza Atletico. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 34%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sport Huancayo (green) and Alianza Atletico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | WWWWW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Alianza Atletico | LWWWW | 2.60 | 1.60 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Alianza Atletico 4–1 Sport Huancayo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Sport Huancayo Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.