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USL League One · USA
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spokane Velocity host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One (USA) on 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spokane Velocity 3–3 Portland Hearts of Pine.
Going into the match, Spokane Velocity had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Portland Hearts of Pine had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Spokane Velocity's last 10 and 8 of Portland Hearts of Pine's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spokane Velocity averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Portland Hearts of Pine averaged 1.57 scored and 2.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from Spokane Velocity and 1.20 from Portland Hearts of Pine. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 16%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spokane Velocity (green) and Portland Hearts of Pine (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane Velocity | WWDLD | 1.70 | 1.30 | 80% | 60% |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | LDWWL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 Spokane Velocity
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Spokane Velocity Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Spokane Velocity HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.