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League Two · Scotland
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartans host Kelty Hearts in the League Two (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartans 0–2 Kelty Hearts.
Going into the match, Spartans had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 15. Kelty Hearts had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Spartans's last 10 and 8 of Kelty Hearts's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartans averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kelty Hearts averaged 0.82 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Spartans and 1.26 from Kelty Hearts. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 24%, against 53%, 23% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartans (green) and Kelty Hearts (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | WDLWL | 1.90 | 1.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Kelty Hearts | WLLLW | 1.80 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Spartans Win | 53% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.