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Challenge Cup · Scotland
Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartans host Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Challenge Cup (Scotland) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartans 1–1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.
Going into the match, Spartans had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Spartans's last 10 and 6 of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartans averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic averaged 1.67 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Spartans and 1.59 from Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 35%, against 59%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartans (green) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | WLWDL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 30% | 60% |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | LWLWW | 1.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.53 |
| Spartans Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.