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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Spartak Nalchik vs Astrakhan prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Nalchik host Astrakhan in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Spartak Nalchik to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.26, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartak Nalchik 2–1 Astrakhan.
Going into the match, Spartak Nalchik had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Astrakhan had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Spartak Nalchik's last 10 and 6 of Astrakhan's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Nalchik averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Astrakhan averaged 1.23 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Spartak Nalchik and 1.04 from Astrakhan. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 23%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Nalchik (green) and Astrakhan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Nalchik | LLWLL | 1.40 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
| Astrakhan | WDLDL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Spartak Nalchik Win | 48% | 1.98 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.12 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.