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Cup · Russia
Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spartak Kostroma host Chelyabinsk in the Cup (Russia) on 13 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spartak Kostroma 1–0 Chelyabinsk.
Going into the match, Spartak Kostroma had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Chelyabinsk had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Spartak Kostroma's last 10 and 7 of Chelyabinsk's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spartak Kostroma averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chelyabinsk averaged 1.00 scored and 1.54 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Spartak Kostroma and 0.83 from Chelyabinsk. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 20%, against 38%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spartak Kostroma (green) and Chelyabinsk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | LLWWW | 1.30 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Chelyabinsk | WDWDW | 1.30 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Chelyabinsk 0–1 Spartak Kostroma
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.23 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.