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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sparta Praha host Pardubice in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice.
Going into the match, Sparta Praha had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 13. Pardubice had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sparta Praha's last 10 and 7 of Pardubice's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Praha averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pardubice averaged 1.85 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Sparta Praha and 1.13 from Pardubice. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 69%, 18% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sparta Praha (green) and Pardubice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | WWWWW | 2.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 90% |
| Pardubice | WWWWD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Sparta Praha Win | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Sparta Praha HT & FT | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.