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3. liga - CFL A · Czech Republic

Sparta Praha II vs Dukla Praha II prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 08:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Sparta Praha II WinOdds 1.25Market probability 75%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Sparta Praha II host Dukla Praha II in the 3. liga - CFL A (Czech Republic) on 11 Oct 2026, 08:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sparta Praha II Win — Sparta Praha II to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Sparta Praha II 2–1 Dukla Praha II.

Going into the match, Sparta Praha II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 11. Dukla Praha II had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Sparta Praha II's last 10 and 7 of Dukla Praha II's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Praha II averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dukla Praha II averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Sparta Praha II and 0.97 from Dukla Praha II. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 17%, against 72%, 16% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Sparta Praha II (green) and Dukla Praha II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form79% – 21%
Attack76% – 24%
Defence80% – 20%
Overall strength81% – 19%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Sparta Praha IIWWDDW2.001.1060%70%
Dukla Praha IILDDDL1.101.7070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No76%1.21
Sparta Praha II Win75%1.25
Sparta Praha II HT & FT59%1.57
Sparta Praha II 1st Half Win56%1.62
BTTS Yes54%1.68
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals52%1.78
2-011%8.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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