Home › League stats › 4. liga - Divizie D › Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou
4. liga - Divizie D · Czech Republic
Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sparta Brno host Ždírec nad Doubravou in the 4. liga - Divizie D (Czech Republic) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sparta Brno to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sparta Brno 3–1 Ždírec nad Doubravou.
Going into the match, Sparta Brno had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 21. Ždírec nad Doubravou had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sparta Brno's last 10 and 8 of Ždírec nad Doubravou's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Brno averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ždírec nad Doubravou averaged 0.67 scored and 2.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.63 goals from Sparta Brno and 1.28 from Ždírec nad Doubravou. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 16%, against 53%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sparta Brno (green) and Ždírec nad Doubravou (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno | WWLWL | 1.30 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Ždírec nad Doubravou | WLWLD | 1.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Sparta Brno Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Sparta Brno HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 1-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.