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4. liga - Divizie D · Czech Republic
Sparta Brno vs Velké Meziříčí prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sparta Brno host Velké Meziříčí in the 4. liga - Divizie D (Czech Republic) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sparta Brno 5–1 Velké Meziříčí.
Going into the match, Sparta Brno had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. Velké Meziříčí had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sparta Brno's last 10 and 6 of Velké Meziříčí's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Brno averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Velké Meziříčí averaged 1.09 scored and 2.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.14 goals from Sparta Brno and 1.34 from Velké Meziříčí. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 13%, against 57%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sparta Brno (green) and Velké Meziříčí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno | WWWWL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Velké Meziříčí | DLWLL | 1.40 | 2.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · Velké Meziříčí 2–1 Sparta Brno
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.48 |
| Sparta Brno Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Sparta Brno HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 4. liga - Divizie D matches that day
- Bystrc Kníničky vs Bedrichov · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 4. liga - Divizie D
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 4–0 - Chotebor vs Tatran Bohunice · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 4. liga - Divizie D
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - FS Třebíč vs Pelhřimov · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 4. liga - Divizie D
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 4–2