Home › League stats › Tweede Divisie › Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam
Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spakenburg host AFC Amsterdam in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam.
Going into the match, Spakenburg had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. AFC Amsterdam had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Spakenburg's last 10 and 6 of AFC Amsterdam's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spakenburg averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home AFC Amsterdam averaged 2.25 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Spakenburg and 1.30 from AFC Amsterdam. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 32%, against 60%, 21% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spakenburg (green) and AFC Amsterdam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | LDDWL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| AFC Amsterdam | LWWDL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Spakenburg Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Spakenburg HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.