Home › League stats › UEFA Nations League › Spain vs Czechia
UEFA Nations League · International
Spain vs Czechia prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Spain host Czechia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Spain 3–1 Czechia.
Going into the match, Spain had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 4. Czechia had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Spain's last 10 and 5 of Czechia's last 7; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Spain averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Czechia averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.39 goals from Spain and 0.48 from Czechia. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 5%, against 88%, 9% and 3% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Spain (green) and Czechia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spain HT & FT | 72% | 1.33 |
| Spain 1st Half Win | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.