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WSL Cup · England
Southampton W vs Crystal Palace W prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Southampton W host Crystal Palace W in the WSL Cup (England) on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Crystal Palace W to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Southampton W had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Crystal Palace W had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton W's last 8 and 4 of Crystal Palace W's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Southampton W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Crystal Palace W averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Southampton W and 1.00 from Crystal Palace W. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 26%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Southampton W (green) and Crystal Palace W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton W | LLDDD | 1.38 | 1.13 | 63% | 63% |
| Crystal Palace W | LDWDW | 1.70 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Crystal Palace W Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| Crystal Palace W HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.