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Premier League Cup · England
Southampton U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Southampton U21 host Queens Park Rangers U21 in the Premier League Cup (England) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Southampton U21 Win — Southampton U21 to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Southampton U21 5–1 Queens Park Rangers U21.
Going into the match, Southampton U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Queens Park Rangers U21 had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Southampton U21's last 10 and 8 of Queens Park Rangers U21's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Southampton U21 averaged 3.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Queens Park Rangers U21 averaged 1.38 scored and 2.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.80 goals from Southampton U21 and 1.62 from Queens Park Rangers U21. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 12%, against 62%, 19% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Southampton U21 (green) and Queens Park Rangers U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton U21 | WWLDW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
| Queens Park Rangers U21 | LLLWL | 1.80 | 2.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| Southampton U21 Win | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.86 |
| Southampton U21 HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.