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Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Somozas vs Sarriana prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Somozas host Sarriana in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Somozas 2–1 Sarriana.
Going into the match, Somozas had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Sarriana had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Somozas's last 9 and 3 of Sarriana's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Somozas averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Sarriana averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Somozas and 1.49 from Sarriana. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Somozas (green) and Sarriana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.