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2. Lig · Turkey

Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 63%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Somaspor host Aliağa FAŞ in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ.

Going into the match, Somaspor had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. Aliağa FAŞ had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Somaspor's last 9 and 5 of Aliağa FAŞ's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Somaspor averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Aliağa FAŞ averaged 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Somaspor and 2.13 from Aliağa FAŞ. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 54%, against 15%, 18% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Somaspor (green) and Aliağa FAŞ (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form37% – 63%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence44% – 56%
Head-to-head20% – 80%
Goals33% – 67%
Overall strength36% – 63%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SomasporLWWLW1.672.2267%78%
Aliağa FAŞWWWLW1.501.6050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Aliağa FAŞ Win69%1.33
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals57%1.62
BTTS Yes54%1.71
Aliağa FAŞ HT & FT49%1.91
0-310%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other 2. Lig matches that day