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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Sollentuna vs Stocksund prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sollentuna host Stocksund in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sollentuna 3–0 Stocksund.
Going into the match, Sollentuna had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Stocksund had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sollentuna's last 10 and 7 of Stocksund's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sollentuna averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Stocksund averaged 1.42 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Sollentuna and 1.51 from Stocksund. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 32%, against 56%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sollentuna (green) and Stocksund (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sollentuna | LLDLL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Stocksund | DLLLW | 1.70 | 2.30 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Sollentuna 1–1 Stocksund
- 13 Jun 2026 · Stocksund 3–3 Sollentuna
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Sollentuna Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.