Home › League stats › Division Intermedia › SOL DE America vs Sportivo Carapeguá

Division Intermedia · Paraguay

SOL DE America vs Sportivo Carapeguá prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.90Market probability 50%Final score 2–4

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

SOL DE America host Sportivo Carapeguá in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 9 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.90, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: SOL DE America 2–4 Sportivo Carapeguá.

Going into the match, SOL DE America had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Sportivo Carapeguá had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of SOL DE America's last 10 and 4 of Sportivo Carapeguá's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SOL DE America averaged 1.15 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sportivo Carapeguá averaged 1.08 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from SOL DE America and 0.98 from Sportivo Carapeguá. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between SOL DE America (green) and Sportivo Carapeguá (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form39% – 61%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence22% – 78%
Head-to-head62% – 38%
Goals64% – 36%
Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SOL DE AmericaDWWLW1.400.9040%40%
Sportivo CarapeguáDWDWW1.201.0040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1274%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals69%1.31
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.40
BTTS Yes54%1.69
Under 2.5 Goals50%1.90
SOL DE America Win47%1.75
SOL DE America HT & FT29%3.20
Draw27%3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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