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1. Division · Norway
Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sogndal host Raufoss in the 1. Division (Norway) on 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sogndal Win — Sogndal to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sogndal 2–1 Raufoss.
Going into the match, Sogndal had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Raufoss had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 31 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sogndal's last 10 and 7 of Raufoss's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sogndal averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Raufoss averaged 1.33 scored and 3.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.67 goals from Sogndal and 1.22 from Raufoss. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%, against 65%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sogndal (green) and Raufoss (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Raufoss 3–1 Sogndal
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| Sogndal Win | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Sogndal HT & FT | 47% | 2.05 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.