Home › League stats › Super League › Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv
Super League · Uzbekistan
Sogdiana vs Lokomotiv prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sogdiana host Lokomotiv in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sogdiana 2–3 Lokomotiv.
Going into the match, Sogdiana had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Lokomotiv had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Sogdiana's last 10 and 7 of Lokomotiv's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sogdiana averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lokomotiv averaged 1.56 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Sogdiana and 2.04 from Lokomotiv. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 50%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sogdiana (green) and Lokomotiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jul 2026 · Lokomotiv 3–1 Sogdiana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Sogdiana Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.