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Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sochaux host Boulogne in the Ligue 2 (France) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Sochaux to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sochaux 1–1 Boulogne.
Going into the match, Sochaux had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Boulogne had won 0, drawn 6 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sochaux's last 10 and 5 of Boulogne's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sochaux averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Boulogne averaged 0.64 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Sochaux and 0.75 from Boulogne. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 26%, against 41%, 30% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sochaux (green) and Boulogne (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Sochaux Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.