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1. Liga · Latvia
Smiltene vs Riga FC II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Smiltene host Riga FC II in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Riga FC II to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Smiltene 2–2 Riga FC II.
Going into the match, Smiltene had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 26. Riga FC II had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Smiltene's last 10 and 6 of Riga FC II's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Smiltene averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Riga FC II averaged 1.00 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Smiltene and 1.88 from Riga FC II. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 42%. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Smiltene (green) and Riga FC II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smiltene | WWWLL | 2.00 | 2.60 | 70% | 80% |
| Riga FC II | WDDWD | 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Riga FC II 2–0 Smiltene
Other 1. Liga matches that day
- Riga Mariners vs Skanste · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Super Nova 2 vs Metta / LU · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · 1. Liga
Published pick: Metta / LU Win · FT 1–3