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Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Sweden
Smedby vs Nyköping prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Smedby host Nyköping in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Sweden) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Smedby 1–1 Nyköping.
Going into the match, Smedby had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Nyköping had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Smedby's last 10 and 3 of Nyköping's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Smedby averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nyköping averaged 1.18 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Smedby and 1.36 from Nyköping. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Smedby (green) and Nyköping (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Jun 2026 · Nyköping 0–1 Smedby
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Nyköping Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.