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2. SNL · Slovenia
Slovan Ljubljana vs Bistrica prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Slovan Ljubljana host Bistrica in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Slovan Ljubljana 1–1 Bistrica.
Going into the match, Slovan Ljubljana had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Bistrica had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Slovan Ljubljana's last 10 and 5 of Bistrica's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Slovan Ljubljana averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bistrica averaged 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Slovan Ljubljana and 1.26 from Bistrica. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 32%, 26% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Slovan Ljubljana (green) and Bistrica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Ljubljana | WWLDL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 40% | 70% |
| Bistrica | WLLWL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Bistrica 1–0 Slovan Ljubljana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Bistrica Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.