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1st League - FBiH · Bosnia
Sloboda Tuzla vs Travnik prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sloboda Tuzla host Travnik in the 1st League - FBiH (Bosnia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sloboda Tuzla had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 7. Travnik had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Sloboda Tuzla's last 10 and 3 of Travnik's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sloboda Tuzla averaged 2.56 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Travnik averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Sloboda Tuzla and 0.83 from Travnik. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 21%, against 51%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sloboda Tuzla (green) and Travnik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloboda Tuzla | WWDWL | 2.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 60% |
| Travnik | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.50 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Travnik 0–1 Sloboda Tuzla
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.81 |
| Sloboda Tuzla Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Sloboda Tuzla HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.