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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Slivnishki geroy vs Natsional Sofia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Slivnishki geroy host Natsional Sofia in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Natsional Sofia to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Slivnishki geroy had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Natsional Sofia had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Slivnishki geroy's last 10 and 6 of Natsional Sofia's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Slivnishki geroy averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Natsional Sofia averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Slivnishki geroy and 1.42 from Natsional Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 27%. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Slivnishki geroy (green) and Natsional Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slivnishki geroy | DDLLW | 1.30 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
| Natsional Sofia | LDWLD | 1.20 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.